Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday
 2% |
 3% |
 5% |
 5% |
 8% |
 8% |
 13% |
 14% |
 14% |
 18% |
 19% |
 19% |
 20% |
 20% |
 24% |
 27% |
 27% |
 29% |
 48% |
 53% |
 53% |
 61% |
 64% |
 76% |
 88% |
 92% |
 96% |
 97% |
 98% |
 100% |
SEC: 4.39 | B10: 3.10 | B12: 1.65 | ACC: 1.55 | G5: 1.32 |