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Playoff Predictor for the 2022 college football season

Predicted Rankings

Predicted committee top 4:

Full playoff committee predicted rankings (top 25)

Computer top 4:

True computer ratings (full list)

updated daily and constantly throughout the day on Saturdays as games go final.

True ratings are computed by a variant of the Colley Matrix method

Who's in? Come here to find out first!

Know the 2022 college football playoff positioning at all times

PlayoffPredictor.com uses a combination of a mathematical computer based formula plus a calculated playoff committee bias in order to rank all top 25 teams. This top 25 list is a prediction of what the selection committee's top 25 rankings will be that are released on Tuesday nights. The top 25 rankings is not my opinion of the teams rankings, rather it is a prediction on what the committe will do.

Additionally, using the menu at the top you can predict the future rankings the committee will give each team by filling out who the winners and losers of each game will be.

Try it yourself now! Select the week 14 game winners and determine what the December 3rd - Final poll will look like now

Average Committee Bias --
What's this?
Committee Bias
The bias indicates the level of agreement between the PlayoffPredictor's computer ranking and the committee ranking of a given team.

If a team has a high positive bias, the committee is ranking a team higher than the computer. If a team has a high negative bias, the computer is ranking that team higher than the committee. If the bias is zero then the commitee and computer agree on the ranking for that team.

Heavily over-ranked teams
LSU 0.0487
Washington 0.0391
North Carolina 0.0373
USC 0.036
Clemson 0.0343
Computer and playoff committee agreement
Kentucky 0.0251
Cincinnati 0.024
Tulane 0.0166
South Carolina 0.0134
Oregon 0.0119
Utah 0.0118
Illinois 0.0089
Ole Miss 0.0089
Oklahoma State 0.0066
NC State 0.0047
UCLA 0.0043
Michigan 0.0042
UCF 0.0024
South Alabama -0.0003
Louisville -0.0011
Florida -0.0023
Kansas -0.0027
UTSA -0.0039
Syracuse -0.005
Wake Forest -0.0069
Troy -0.0078
Georgia -0.0107
Ohio State -0.0141
Mississippi State -0.0221
Penn State -0.0281
Heavily under-ranked teams
Oregon State -0.044
Alabama -0.0539
Tennessee -0.0555
Texas -0.0911
Florida State -0.1012
Kansas State -0.146

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