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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 9% 12% 13% 13% 14% 21% 25% 26% 27% 28% 32% 33% 48% 51% 56% 72% 92% 96% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% SEC: 4.58
B10: 3.29
B12: 1.60
ACC: 0.97
G5: 1.57