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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 7% 8% 9% 11% 13% 15% 20% 21% 23% 23% 25% 28% 32% 33% 34% 43% 47% 51% 58% 67% 74% 81% 85% 87% 91% 99% 100% SEC: 3.51
B10: 2.84
B12: 1.48
ACC: 2.39
G5: 1.75