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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 21% 23% 29% 30% 30% 34% 35% 38% 38% 41% 41% 41% 45% 46% 55% 68% 69% 71% 74% 78% 92% 94% SEC: 3.90
B10: 3.30
B12: 1.75
ACC: 1.72
G5: 1.27