Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday
 2% |
 3% |
 3% |
 4% |
 5% |
 5% |
 7% |
 7% |
 7% |
 8% |
 11% |
 13% |
 14% |
 15% |
 16% |
 17% |
 23% |
 23% |
 23% |
 23% |
 30% |
 31% |
 31% |
 37% |
 41% |
 44% |
 51% |
 56% |
 59% |
 61% |
 64% |
 71% |
 97% |
 98% |
 98% |
 100% |
SEC: 4.10 | B10: 2.99 | B12: 1.57 | ACC: 1.35 | G5: 1.97 |