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Below are the current probabilities for each team to make the 12-team college football playoff
Data is based on games played to this point and future scheduling using a Monte-Carlo simulation of 1000 iterations.
The conference numbers indicate how many teams from that conference are expected to make the playoff. Updated 3 times each Saturday

4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 14% 14% 14% 14% 14% 15% 15% SEC: 1.90
B10: 2.04
B12: 1.61
ACC: 1.75
G5: 4.76