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2025 NCAA Playoff Committee Rating Biases

Comparing computer rankings to committee rankings

Overrated by Committee: Positive bias > 0.03 (committee values team more than computer)
Underrated by Committee: Negative bias < -0.03 (computer values team more than committee)
Neutral: Bias between -0.03 and 0.03 (committee and computer roughly agree)
Team Average
All Weeks		 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 Max Bias Min Bias Range
Tennessee 0.0675 0.0740 0.0751 0.0413 0.0628 0.0843 0 0.0843 0.0413 0.0430
Oregon 0.0646 0.1055 0.0971 0.0443 0.0528 0.0233 0 0.1055 0.0233 0.0823
Texas 0.0574 0.0461 0.0274 0.0735 0.0538 0.0863 0 0.0863 0.0274 0.0589
Ohio State 0.0533 0.0541 0.0673 0.0602 0.0444 0.0407 0 0.0673 0.0407 0.0266
Vanderbilt 0.0523 0.0433 0.0482 0.0253 0.0861 0.0584 0 0.0861 0.0253 0.0608
Missouri 0.0429 0.0763 0.0975 0 0.0408 0 0 0.0975 0 0.0975
Oklahoma 0.0316 0 0.0065 0.0511 0.0622 0.0384 0 0.0622 0 0.0622
Georgia 0.0222 0.0486 0.0370 0.0045 0 0.0209 0 0.0486 0 0.0486
Virginia 0.0192 0.0188 -0.0024 0.0276 0 0.0518 0 0.0518 -0.0024 0.0542
Georgia Tech 0.0179 0 0.0189 0.0036 0.0645 0.0023 0 0.0645 0 0.0645
Iowa 0.0112 0 0 0.0561 0 0 0 0.0561 0 0.0561
Cincinnati 0.0107 0.0090 0.0223 0.0224 0 0 0 0.0224 0 0.0224
Memphis 0.0103 0.0128 0.0387 0 0 0 0 0.0387 0 0.0387
Louisville 0.0065 -0.0047 0 0.0370 0 0 0 0.0370 -0.0047 0.0417
Texas Tech 0.0059 -0.0061 0 0.0146 0.0042 0.0169 0 0.0169 -0.0061 0.0230
Alabama 0.0034 0.0038 0.0198 0 -0.0065 0 0 0.0198 -0.0065 0.0263
SMU 0.0018 0 0 0 0 0.0089 0 0.0089 0 0.0089
Texas A&M 0.0001 0 0 0 0 0.0004 0 0.0004 0 0.0004
Arizona State -0.0013 0 0 0 0 -0.0065 0 0 -0.0065 0.0065
Arizona -0.0019 0 0 0 -0.0094 0 0 0 -0.0094 0.0094
Houston -0.0045 0.0018 0 -0.0175 -0.0066 0 0 0.0018 -0.0175 0.0192
Navy -0.0067 -0.0336 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0336 0.0336
Ole Miss -0.0088 -0.0181 -0.0370 0 0.0099 0.0012 0 0.0099 -0.0370 0.0468
South Florida -0.0137 -0.0128 -0.0195 -0.0278 0 -0.0083 0 0 -0.0278 0.0278
Illinois -0.0184 0 -0.0217 -0.0253 -0.0452 0 0 0 -0.0452 0.0452
Washington -0.0194 -0.0375 -0.0306 0 -0.0108 -0.0183 0 0 -0.0375 0.0375
Tulane -0.0208 -0.0338 0 -0.0224 -0.0229 -0.0250 0 0 -0.0338 0.0338
Miami -0.0247 -0.0733 -0.0291 -0.0162 -0.0051 0 0 0 -0.0733 0.0733
Notre Dame -0.0278 -0.0551 0 -0.0236 -0.0212 -0.0391 0 0 -0.0551 0.0551
Michigan -0.0337 -0.0375 -0.0408 -0.0280 -0.0536 -0.0084 0 -0.0084 -0.0536 0.0451
Utah -0.0337 -0.0330 -0.0515 -0.0349 -0.0251 -0.0241 0 -0.0241 -0.0515 0.0274
James Madison -0.0414 0 -0.0530 -0.0647 -0.0462 -0.0432 0 0 -0.0647 0.0647
BYU -0.0508 -0.0486 -0.0653 -0.0398 -0.0410 -0.0595 0 -0.0398 -0.0653 0.0255
Indiana -0.0533 -0.0541 -0.0673 -0.0602 -0.0444 -0.0407 0 -0.0407 -0.0673 0.0266
USC -0.0558 -0.0019 -0.0338 -0.0744 -0.0887 -0.0802 0 -0.0019 -0.0887 0.0868
North Texas -0.0601 -0.0046 -0.0733 -0.0755 -0.0609 -0.0863 0 -0.0046 -0.0863 0.0817

Notes:

Week 13: Last regular season week (Auburn-Alabama week)
Week 14: Conference championship week
Blank cells: Team is out of top 25 in both committee and computer rankings for that week

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